What are Archtrends?
Archtrends are the most overarching trends in human history. They are part of the path of human development. They don’t change.
- Societal level change: advancements from lower levels of societal development to higher ones
- Governance basis change: advancement from simpler forms of governance to more complex forms
- Leadership power growth: increasing the primary attributes that give a society influence
- Transformative innovations: the innovations that have changed leadership power in a society
- Lifestyle changes: the changes experienced over time in daily life by people
What are Current Expressions?
Currents expressions are the ways archtrends appear in our world today.
| Archtrends | Current Expressions |
|---|---|
| Societal level change | Regionalization Nation-state Challenges Modern Fiefdoms Modern Chiefdoms Modern Tribes |
| Governance basis change | Referenda & Direct Governance Dictators & Oligarchs Rule-of-law Challenges |
| Leadership power growth | Population Wealth Foreign Reach Military Strength Influence (instead of War) |
| Transformative innovations | Computers & Social Media Nuclear Power & Electrification Dominating Innovations Innovation Pace & Diffusion Digital Legal Infrastructure |
| Lifestyle changes | Pace of Life Violence Reduction Long-term Challenge |
Why should I care?
Archtrends and current expressions give us tools to see where civilization is headed, and how best to handle situations that arise in our world today.
How were they discovered?
I was doing research on what creates leading societies. I discovered that the world is more orderly than expected: there is a path of human development. The Path illuminates not only history but also the future—and not just a few years, but centuries. Archtrends are part of The Path.
What is Active History?
Active History is the application of archtrends and current expressions to events in our world today. We can assess which events are congruent with history and which ones are misaligned to it. The former will contribute to the world’s development, the latter will fade away. Applying archtrends and current expressions to our world helps us make better decisions for our nation and ourselves.